Lawrence Jengar
Feb 11, 2026 09:59
XRP trades at $1.36 with oversold RSI at 32.25 suggesting potential bounce to $1.50, but bearish MACD signals caution for Ripple’s near-term outlook.
XRP Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.45
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.31-$1.65 range• Bullish breakout level: $1.65
• Critical support: $1.31
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Ripple
While specific analyst predictions from major crypto influencers are limited in recent trading sessions, recent technical analysis from blockchain analysts suggests mixed signals for XRP’s trajectory. According to a January 6 analysis by Rebeca Moen, “XRP shows bullish momentum targeting $2.75 short-term, with analysts forecasting $4.40-$6.00 medium-term despite RSI overbought at 75.29 and critical resistance at $2.42.”
However, current market conditions present a stark contrast to this earlier optimistic outlook. On-chain data suggests institutional accumulation patterns have shifted, while retail sentiment remains cautious following XRP’s recent -4.33% daily decline.
XRP Technical Analysis Breakdown
XRP’s current technical picture reveals a coin in transition, trading at $1.36 after a notable 4.33% decline in the past 24 hours. The daily RSI reading of 32.25 places Ripple in oversold territory, historically a zone where bounce opportunities emerge.
The MACD indicator tells a more cautious story, with the histogram at 0.0000 signaling bearish momentum has stalled but not yet reversed. The MACD line sits at -0.1548, matching the signal line, suggesting XRP is at a potential inflection point.
Ripple’s position within the Bollinger Bands provides additional context, with the token trading near the lower band at a %B position of 0.1884. This indicates XRP is approaching oversold conditions, with the lower band at $1.20 serving as a technical floor and the upper band at $2.07 representing the current ceiling.
Moving averages paint a longer-term bearish picture, with XRP trading below all key averages. The 7-day SMA at $1.39 represents immediate resistance, while the 20-day SMA at $1.63 and 50-day SMA at $1.86 highlight the depth of the current correction from recent highs.
Ripple Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
A recovery scenario for XRP hinges on reclaiming the $1.41 immediate resistance level, followed by a push toward the strong resistance at $1.45. Technical confirmation would require the RSI to break above 50 and the MACD histogram to turn positive.
Success above $1.45 could trigger a rally toward the 7-day moving average at $1.39, with further upside targeting the psychologically important $1.50 level. The ultimate bullish target remains the 20-day SMA at $1.63, which would represent a 20% gain from current levels.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold the $1.33 immediate support could accelerate selling pressure toward the strong support at $1.31. A break below this level would expose XRP to a test of the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $1.20, representing a potential 12% decline.
Risk factors include continued selling pressure from long-term holders, broader cryptocurrency market weakness, and potential regulatory headwinds that have historically impacted Ripple’s price action.
Should You Buy XRP? Entry Strategy
For traders considering XRP positions, the current oversold RSI reading presents a potential opportunity, but patience is warranted. A disciplined entry strategy would involve dollar-cost averaging between $1.31-$1.36, with strict stop-losses below $1.20.
Conservative investors should wait for confirmation of trend reversal, specifically looking for RSI readings above 40 and positive MACD histogram readings. More aggressive traders might consider the current $1.36 level as an entry point, given the proximity to strong support at $1.31.
Risk management remains crucial, with position sizes limited to 2-3% of total portfolio allocation and stop-losses set at the Bollinger Band lower boundary of $1.20.
Conclusion
This XRP price prediction suggests a cautious but potentially rewarding outlook for Ripple in the coming weeks. While technical indicators show oversold conditions that often precede bounces, the broader trend remains under pressure with key moving averages acting as resistance.
The most probable scenario sees XRP consolidating between $1.31-$1.45 over the next week, with a potential Ripple forecast targeting $1.50 by early March if bulls can establish control above current resistance levels. However, traders should remain vigilant of the $1.31 support level, as a break could signal deeper correction ahead.
Disclaimer: This XRP price prediction is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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